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Sunday, 6 August 2017

Ajax Downs Selections August 6

Seven races on tap this week at Ajax Downs. No true featured events but we do have a 110 yard dash in Race 5 and a very nice optional claimer featuring horses like Fiesty Icon and Home to Vegas in Race 6. Here are my selections for today's card.

Race 1: 4-3-1
Welcome to Ajax Downs! #4 HELLFIRE N BRIMSTONE made his 2017 debut 17 days ago and ran a good second despite not breaking perfect. He is liable to improve. #3 MISS HER MADLY exits back to back third place finishes, first in a speed index race against foes with wins to their name, and then in the same race Hellfire N Brimstone exits. She seems to be gradually improving. #1 GEORGIES MAY KITTY has racked up four top three finishes in nine career starts. Her lone start at 350 yards was a decent second and the Thoroughbred breeding she has suggests she'll want distance. The Daily Double starts here.

Race 2: 5-1-2
This race begins the early Pick 3. #5 PASSUM LANE got a bit ancy in the gate last time out and ended up running a decent fourth. He draws outside and may be better if he can stay more settled. #1 RICH AND ON FIRE was outgunned by Passum Lane two back but turned the tables on July 23 and scored the win along the rail. He seems right at home at this low speed index level. #2 SCOUTING FOR ME is a maiden facing winners. He exits three consecutive runner up finishes. Last time out I thought he had a large lead crossing the gap and shouldn't have gotten run down but did. His speed figures are good but it's tough to take a short price on a maiden in this situation.

Race 3: 6-2-1
#6 MISS DOCK HILL didn't break as fast as she should have last time out and was a non factor but was in good form before that. She has been given some time off and may be back to normal here. #2 STEEL PATRIOT has been a fringe player since coming here but is gradually improving. Last time out from the rail he finished fourth behind Ms First Prize Pearl, Maryland Magic and Hello Stoli, a respectable ground. Before that he was beaten a length in a NW2. #1 KOOL DASHIN BABE found her best stride at the right time, winning the QROOI Overnight Series for maidens on July 16 over Iconic Shift. She takes the next jump in conditions.

Race 4: 4-5-2
This race kicks off the $.20 Pick 4! #4 MS FIRST PRIZE PEARL broke sharply to the outside in her first local start but came out much better and won second time out, beating Maryland Magic, who came back to win an Adequan Derby Challenge trial. She may have won the first local start with a better start. #5 FISHN FOR A CORONA won her first two starts, both in NW2 races before getting beat a head by The Flash Drive. She beat Ms First Prize Pearl on July 1. #2 FAST BUCK qualified to the Picov Maturity and was no threat in the final. and hasn't been much of a factor in two allowance races since. He is capable of being competitive and could certainly round things out in this short field.

Race 5: 2-1-7
This race is the 110 yard Gridiron Gallop! #2 ROUGE RIVER CARTEL is new to the 110 yard dash. He has quite a bit of speed leaving the gate and is in very good form this year. #1 ALBERTT is also new to 110 yards. Although he's normally a fine breaker, his start in the OSS Maturity wasn't as quick as it could have been in my opinion, but he could rebound here. #7 DEAL A FORTUNE exits back to back wins in the optional claiming ranks. Last year in one of his attempts at 110 yards he finished second behind Arctic Fame. I wouldn't be surprised to see him as the favourite here. The late Pick 3 begins here.

Race 6: 3-5-1
The Late Double starts here. #3 FIESTY ICON didn't break great and could not recover in the OSS Maturity trials, which is unfortunate as he would have been the favourite in the final. He's capable of running with the best of the best in Ontario, if he breaks he's the one to beat. #5 HOME TO VEGAS made his seasonal debut in the OSS Derby, finishing a neck behind Ghost Pines and Later Tater. He may be sharper now that he's got a race into him. #1 VALIANT STOLI TIME has had a pair of close finishes in similar optional claiming races, beaten a neck by Deal a Fortune in both of them. At the start of the season he had a second behind Albertt and was a length behind One Famous Glass in the Picov Maturity trials. One to consider.

Race 7: 7-6-8
#7 UPPER CANADA broke inwards, bumped a foe and made a late bid but was second best behind Rockin Miss Kitty last time. He is only two for 17 in his career but at a good price I think he's worth considering. #6 ITSALLABOUTRAMBLIN ran a huge third two back, trying to get by at every point but being herded out all the way. Last time out he was third in spite of a less than perfect start, but I don't think it was the same effort. Regardless, he's pretty consistent, eight top three finishes in 12 starts and will likely be favoured. #8 EYE SAID IM NED was fourth behind Rockin Miss Kitty and Upper Canada last time out. He broke outwards then ran a bit greenly early and didn't finish up too badly. He's a longshot to take a look at.

Good luck and thank you to everyone joining us today!

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