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Sunday, 20 August 2017

Ajax Downs Selections August 20

After last week's stakes doubleheader we return with a seven race card at Ajax Downs. No stakes, trials or overnight events this week but we do have a nice optional claiming race for older horses going in Race 6. Here are my selections.

Race 1: 1-4-5
Welcome to Ajax Downs! #1 A GAME DASHER has been in the top three in all four of her starts this year, including a win three back. Last time out she was a good third behind The Flash Drive and Fishn For a Corona. If she gets the jump on them she may be hard to catch. #4 HOME ICE raced very well when finishing fourth in the OSS Derby two back. He then won a NW2, defeating Check the Winner, who returned to beat a field of NW3 and returns in this spot, still eligible for the condition. He outfinished A Game Dasher in their seasonal bow in May. #5 KOOL DASHIN BABE broke her maiden in a QROOI Overnight series race and came right back to win a NW2 over her stablemate, A Splash of Royalty, who also returns here. She draws outside and has a realistic shot at the hat trick. The Daily Double starts here.

Race 2: 5-7-4
This race begins the early Pick 3. #5 WONT BAC DOWN finished fourth on debut, finishing behind Miss Racy Eagle. She has a decent pedigree, half sister to Countrys Comin Bac, and could improve second time out.  #7 MISS RACY EAGLE has faced a couple of the top two year olds to start here in her three local starts, Had to be Ivory and Carneros. She leads the field in experience, has shown some run and I don't think there are any monster first timers here. #4 FURY US debuts with a pair of gate works on her form. She has been paddock schooled in the mornings so she has some familiarity with the routine. Her dam was a two year old winner.

Race 3: 1-4-3
#1 JESS RIP stumbled a bit at the start but was still out fast and led the whole way when breaking her maiden last time out. You may want to note that she was reported to have bled in that start and will race on Lasix today. If she gets out well she has a good shot to double up. #4 GRABIN COURAGE had the outside post in a short field, broke outwards and finished fourth of five. He faces Ontario breds here as opposed to open company and will hopefully break straight. #3 ARISING MIRACLE finished fifth in the OSS Derby two back. Last out she was fourth at this level behind Ice N Snow and Mr Polar Express. I don't think that was a bad group of NW2 to be fourth in. He could be alright here.

Race 4: 3-2-1
This race kicks off the $.20 Pick 4! #3 SHESASTREAKINCHICK is not exactly a winning type; two for 42 in her career with the most recent win back in June 2015. She was second at this level two back, but last time out was in a really tough group of NW3. If she breaks well she should be competitive here. #2 RICH AND ON FIRE exits a pair of wins at the 75 and under level and takes a slight jump up to 80 and under. He's in good form and this really isn't much of a jump in class. #1 PASSUM LANE won three back and has kept good form in the two runs since. Although nine for 20 in the top three in his career, his record is a bit better than it looks if you dig into it a bit. He's a respectable horse in these Speed Index races.

Race 5: 4-2-1
#4 COLD HARD DASH wasn't in easy for his first Ajax start, finishing fifth in a race topped by Zoxtobeyou and Home Ice. His second local start was a very tough optional claimer that was won by Reckless an Wild and included The Fdd Map and Memories Times Six. He has some experience over the surface, races without Lasix and gets back into his condition. #2 HELLO STOLI broke his maiden over his stablemate, Kool Dashin Babe who has won two races since and is entered in today's first. He came back to be third behind Ms First Prize Pearl and Maryland Magic, probably the toughest NW2 we've have this year, then went out of his condition to face NW3, finishing fourth behind Ms First Pirze Pearl again. He should be competitive. #1 ONE DASHIN ROSE had three very nice efforts to start the season off, including a close third in the AQHA Challenge Maiden, but stumbled at the start in the Adequan Derby Challenge trials and finished sixth. If she gets out well this time she should fit right in with this group. The late Pick 3 begins here.

Race 6: 8-3-6
The Late Double starts here. #8 FASTER THAN U was beaten by Country Boy 123, Alakazaam, Runaway Cause and Fast Man Vic last time out. That was just his second start of the season, and I think he may have needed those first two. He's a bit of a reach in this field, but he's got some run and I think he has the potential to improve today. #3 HOME TO VEGAS ran his career best speed figure and speed index last time out, finishing fourth at this level. He makes his third start of the year here and I don't think he's lost a step from two to three years old. #6 COUNTRYS COMIN BAC has been right there in the three starts where he's broke well this year. He's a very honest horse, eight top two finishes in 12 starts including a second behind Country Boy 123 in last year's Picov Derby. He always deserves respect.

Race 7: 6-4-10
#6 FAST STREAKIN NICK stumbled at the start last time out but before that had four very good runs, three seconds and a third against good foes. If he breaks he should be right there. #4 WAGER ON ME has been no worse than third in five tries this season and most of those fields have been good ones. I hate to sound like a broken record, but if she breaks well she should be a factor. #10 PYC TRICKIE LADY finished second behind Gogo Jangles in her first start of the season, beating Fast Streakin Nick. She could improve second time out and may be the one to beat from the outside.
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Good luck and thank you to everyone joining us today!

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