Sunday, 20 August 2017

Ajax Downs Selections August 20

After last week's stakes doubleheader we return with a seven race card at Ajax Downs. No stakes, trials or overnight events this week but we do have a nice optional claiming race for older horses going in Race 6. Here are my selections.

Race 1: 1-4-5
Welcome to Ajax Downs! #1 A GAME DASHER has been in the top three in all four of her starts this year, including a win three back. Last time out she was a good third behind The Flash Drive and Fishn For a Corona. If she gets the jump on them she may be hard to catch. #4 HOME ICE raced very well when finishing fourth in the OSS Derby two back. He then won a NW2, defeating Check the Winner, who returned to beat a field of NW3 and returns in this spot, still eligible for the condition. He outfinished A Game Dasher in their seasonal bow in May. #5 KOOL DASHIN BABE broke her maiden in a QROOI Overnight series race and came right back to win a NW2 over her stablemate, A Splash of Royalty, who also returns here. She draws outside and has a realistic shot at the hat trick. The Daily Double starts here.

Race 2: 5-7-4
This race begins the early Pick 3. #5 WONT BAC DOWN finished fourth on debut, finishing behind Miss Racy Eagle. She has a decent pedigree, half sister to Countrys Comin Bac, and could improve second time out.  #7 MISS RACY EAGLE has faced a couple of the top two year olds to start here in her three local starts, Had to be Ivory and Carneros. She leads the field in experience, has shown some run and I don't think there are any monster first timers here. #4 FURY US debuts with a pair of gate works on her form. She has been paddock schooled in the mornings so she has some familiarity with the routine. Her dam was a two year old winner.

Race 3: 1-4-3
#1 JESS RIP stumbled a bit at the start but was still out fast and led the whole way when breaking her maiden last time out. You may want to note that she was reported to have bled in that start and will race on Lasix today. If she gets out well she has a good shot to double up. #4 GRABIN COURAGE had the outside post in a short field, broke outwards and finished fourth of five. He faces Ontario breds here as opposed to open company and will hopefully break straight. #3 ARISING MIRACLE finished fifth in the OSS Derby two back. Last out she was fourth at this level behind Ice N Snow and Mr Polar Express. I don't think that was a bad group of NW2 to be fourth in. He could be alright here.

Race 4: 3-2-1
This race kicks off the $.20 Pick 4! #3 SHESASTREAKINCHICK is not exactly a winning type; two for 42 in her career with the most recent win back in June 2015. She was second at this level two back, but last time out was in a really tough group of NW3. If she breaks well she should be competitive here. #2 RICH AND ON FIRE exits a pair of wins at the 75 and under level and takes a slight jump up to 80 and under. He's in good form and this really isn't much of a jump in class. #1 PASSUM LANE won three back and has kept good form in the two runs since. Although nine for 20 in the top three in his career, his record is a bit better than it looks if you dig into it a bit. He's a respectable horse in these Speed Index races.

Race 5: 4-2-1
#4 COLD HARD DASH wasn't in easy for his first Ajax start, finishing fifth in a race topped by Zoxtobeyou and Home Ice. His second local start was a very tough optional claimer that was won by Reckless an Wild and included The Fdd Map and Memories Times Six. He has some experience over the surface, races without Lasix and gets back into his condition. #2 HELLO STOLI broke his maiden over his stablemate, Kool Dashin Babe who has won two races since and is entered in today's first. He came back to be third behind Ms First Prize Pearl and Maryland Magic, probably the toughest NW2 we've have this year, then went out of his condition to face NW3, finishing fourth behind Ms First Pirze Pearl again. He should be competitive. #1 ONE DASHIN ROSE had three very nice efforts to start the season off, including a close third in the AQHA Challenge Maiden, but stumbled at the start in the Adequan Derby Challenge trials and finished sixth. If she gets out well this time she should fit right in with this group. The late Pick 3 begins here.

Race 6: 8-3-6
The Late Double starts here. #8 FASTER THAN U was beaten by Country Boy 123, Alakazaam, Runaway Cause and Fast Man Vic last time out. That was just his second start of the season, and I think he may have needed those first two. He's a bit of a reach in this field, but he's got some run and I think he has the potential to improve today. #3 HOME TO VEGAS ran his career best speed figure and speed index last time out, finishing fourth at this level. He makes his third start of the year here and I don't think he's lost a step from two to three years old. #6 COUNTRYS COMIN BAC has been right there in the three starts where he's broke well this year. He's a very honest horse, eight top two finishes in 12 starts including a second behind Country Boy 123 in last year's Picov Derby. He always deserves respect.

Race 7: 6-4-10
#6 FAST STREAKIN NICK stumbled at the start last time out but before that had four very good runs, three seconds and a third against good foes. If he breaks he should be right there. #4 WAGER ON ME has been no worse than third in five tries this season and most of those fields have been good ones. I hate to sound like a broken record, but if she breaks well she should be a factor. #10 PYC TRICKIE LADY finished second behind Gogo Jangles in her first start of the season, beating Fast Streakin Nick. She could improve second time out and may be the one to beat from the outside.
Good luck and thank you to everyone joining us today!

Sunday, 13 August 2017

Ajax Downs Selections August 13

Stakes doubleheader this weekend at Ajax Downs. Eight races on card, with the late double consisting of the Adequan Derby Challenge and the Ontario Sires Stakes Futurity. After a string of rainy days the weather looks beautiful. Here are my selections.

Race 1: 5-2-1
Welcome to Ajax Downs! #5 NIGHT FISHN ran a troubled seventh in her debut. Second time out she drew the rail in a short field, stumbled at the break and ran a decent second behind a class dropping Mr Polar Express. She draws outside in a short field this time and hopefully will leave better. #2 STREAKIN JET SPEED was underwhelming last year but seems to be a better horse this season. Last time out she was a good fourth in a decent group of horses, running a career high speed figure. One to consider. #1 ADABOI KINGSLEY finished third behind Night Fishn last time out. He was not showing much at the start of the year but may be rounding into form now. The Daily Double starts here.

Race 2: 3-1-5
This race begins the early Pick 3. #3 ZOOMN BLUE has run a little bit greenly in both of his outs but that should be fixed with experience. Both of his runs so far have been respectable. #1 ISLAND VODKA showed a bit of run in her debut in Oklahoma but was troubled in her trial for the John Deere Juvenile Challenge and was not far behind Zoomn Blue in the final. Her presence should be felt if she breaks well. #5 PEEPL R KRAZI bore out a bit at the start in her debut and failed to threaten. She should be able to grab a check in this short field.

Race 3: 6-5-2
#6 ROCKIN MISS KITTY was a Speed Index race winner two back before jumping up into starter allowance company where she ran a good second to Channelislandsflyer. She's a very game mare and it shows with her 12-5-3-0 record at Ajax. #5 FAVORITE LEADER was fourth behind Rockin Miss Kitty last time and last of five in a good group of optional claimers before that. She has not had much luck at all this year but when she breaks she's better than her recent record shows. #2 FLY FAST FOR KAYLEE was fourth of five last time behind Winner On a Lark, who returns here. He's a solid old horse who picks up a lot of checks along the way.

Race 4: 3-4-2
This race kicks off the $.20 Pick 4! #3 ICONIC SHIFT has been a close second in both of his last two races, and both would have been wins if he had broken straight. He's a fast horse and if he gets out on top he'll be tough to run down. #4 THISDUDESONFIRE finished fourth in his Ajax debut behind a very well meant first time starter named One Kool Korona. He makes his second run of the year and second over the local surface which could point to improvement. #2 PEVES OUT FURR CANDY has broken slowly in his two local starts. He has some runs in the States that don't look too bad. We'll see how he breaks today.

Race 5: 6-3-2
#6 YOURNOTTHEBOSSOFME was a very impressive debut winner. Second time out he ducked in sharply early in the race after a right handed hit and cost himself any chance of winning, finishing third before being disqualified. I'm hoping for a clean break and a straight run this time out. #3 ICE N SNOW has two close seconds and a third in three starts this year. Last time when finishing second he was ahead of Yournotthebossofme and was just a nose bob away from winning. #2 GRABIN AWARDS raced against non-restricted NW2 last time out and finished a good fourth behind Gogo Jangles, a horse who was coming off a win and is currently entered in Derby trials at Indiana Grand. He may find this spot easier.

Race 6: 2-7-1
#2 SUGARMANS DELIGHT finished a close third (DQd to seventh) behind the red-hot Deal a Fortune and Valiant Stoli Time last out. Although winless at 400 yards, his three starts at the distance have all been great efforts and he has a lot of class to him. #7 IFWISHESWEREFISHES exits a narrow win over Situation Critical. She is two-for-two at 400 yards and has hit the board in eight of her 13 starts so far. She's tough to ignore. #1 MIROMAR won his first two local starts, including a neck-victory over Ifwisheswerefishes on May 28. He finished second behind his stablemate Ls Prince in the Adequan Derby Challenge trials but was DQd for interference and will not be able to compete in the final. He does seem to like running here. The late Pick 3 starts here.

Race 7: 4-9-5
Our first Stakes feature today is the $30,420 US Adequan Derby Challenge! #4 PEVES FREDDY B didn't break on top but closed well to be second behind Maryland Magic in the trials. That was his first local start so seeing improvement wouldn't be a shock. #9 MARYLAND MAGIC has been no worse than second in four local starts. He finished a good second behind Mrs First Lady in the AQHA Challenge Maiden. Most recently he won his trial for this race and I would think he will be the favourite today. #5 DENALI TELLER OFF, last year's Alex Picov Memorial Futurity winner won her 2017 debut before finishing third in this race's trials. She has never been worse than third. The Late Double begins here

Race 8: 1-4-9
Our second Stakes feature is the $72,550 Ontario Sires Stakes Futurity! #1 ROYAL HATRICK is a half sister to Now Is Forever and Embrace Extravagence, two very nice fillies. In her trial she was beaten a head. I'm not in love with the rail but I love her breeding and she may go overlooked in favour of the trial winners. #4 JUNOIMZOOMIN won her trial quite easily with the fastest qualifying time. This field could very well give her a run for her money but for all we know she'll just get better. #9 HANOVER HILL SUGAR won her trial over Royal Hatrick by a head. She draws outside and would be a good addition to resume of new stallion Make Out Artist.

Good luck and thank you to everyone joining us today!

Sunday, 6 August 2017

Ajax Downs Selections August 6

Seven races on tap this week at Ajax Downs. No true featured events but we do have a 110 yard dash in Race 5 and a very nice optional claimer featuring horses like Fiesty Icon and Home to Vegas in Race 6. Here are my selections for today's card.

Race 1: 4-3-1
Welcome to Ajax Downs! #4 HELLFIRE N BRIMSTONE made his 2017 debut 17 days ago and ran a good second despite not breaking perfect. He is liable to improve. #3 MISS HER MADLY exits back to back third place finishes, first in a speed index race against foes with wins to their name, and then in the same race Hellfire N Brimstone exits. She seems to be gradually improving. #1 GEORGIES MAY KITTY has racked up four top three finishes in nine career starts. Her lone start at 350 yards was a decent second and the Thoroughbred breeding she has suggests she'll want distance. The Daily Double starts here.

Race 2: 5-1-2
This race begins the early Pick 3. #5 PASSUM LANE got a bit ancy in the gate last time out and ended up running a decent fourth. He draws outside and may be better if he can stay more settled. #1 RICH AND ON FIRE was outgunned by Passum Lane two back but turned the tables on July 23 and scored the win along the rail. He seems right at home at this low speed index level. #2 SCOUTING FOR ME is a maiden facing winners. He exits three consecutive runner up finishes. Last time out I thought he had a large lead crossing the gap and shouldn't have gotten run down but did. His speed figures are good but it's tough to take a short price on a maiden in this situation.

Race 3: 6-2-1
#6 MISS DOCK HILL didn't break as fast as she should have last time out and was a non factor but was in good form before that. She has been given some time off and may be back to normal here. #2 STEEL PATRIOT has been a fringe player since coming here but is gradually improving. Last time out from the rail he finished fourth behind Ms First Prize Pearl, Maryland Magic and Hello Stoli, a respectable ground. Before that he was beaten a length in a NW2. #1 KOOL DASHIN BABE found her best stride at the right time, winning the QROOI Overnight Series for maidens on July 16 over Iconic Shift. She takes the next jump in conditions.

Race 4: 4-5-2
This race kicks off the $.20 Pick 4! #4 MS FIRST PRIZE PEARL broke sharply to the outside in her first local start but came out much better and won second time out, beating Maryland Magic, who came back to win an Adequan Derby Challenge trial. She may have won the first local start with a better start. #5 FISHN FOR A CORONA won her first two starts, both in NW2 races before getting beat a head by The Flash Drive. She beat Ms First Prize Pearl on July 1. #2 FAST BUCK qualified to the Picov Maturity and was no threat in the final. and hasn't been much of a factor in two allowance races since. He is capable of being competitive and could certainly round things out in this short field.

Race 5: 2-1-7
This race is the 110 yard Gridiron Gallop! #2 ROUGE RIVER CARTEL is new to the 110 yard dash. He has quite a bit of speed leaving the gate and is in very good form this year. #1 ALBERTT is also new to 110 yards. Although he's normally a fine breaker, his start in the OSS Maturity wasn't as quick as it could have been in my opinion, but he could rebound here. #7 DEAL A FORTUNE exits back to back wins in the optional claiming ranks. Last year in one of his attempts at 110 yards he finished second behind Arctic Fame. I wouldn't be surprised to see him as the favourite here. The late Pick 3 begins here.

Race 6: 3-5-1
The Late Double starts here. #3 FIESTY ICON didn't break great and could not recover in the OSS Maturity trials, which is unfortunate as he would have been the favourite in the final. He's capable of running with the best of the best in Ontario, if he breaks he's the one to beat. #5 HOME TO VEGAS made his seasonal debut in the OSS Derby, finishing a neck behind Ghost Pines and Later Tater. He may be sharper now that he's got a race into him. #1 VALIANT STOLI TIME has had a pair of close finishes in similar optional claiming races, beaten a neck by Deal a Fortune in both of them. At the start of the season he had a second behind Albertt and was a length behind One Famous Glass in the Picov Maturity trials. One to consider.

Race 7: 7-6-8
#7 UPPER CANADA broke inwards, bumped a foe and made a late bid but was second best behind Rockin Miss Kitty last time. He is only two for 17 in his career but at a good price I think he's worth considering. #6 ITSALLABOUTRAMBLIN ran a huge third two back, trying to get by at every point but being herded out all the way. Last time out he was third in spite of a less than perfect start, but I don't think it was the same effort. Regardless, he's pretty consistent, eight top three finishes in 12 starts and will likely be favoured. #8 EYE SAID IM NED was fourth behind Rockin Miss Kitty and Upper Canada last time out. He broke outwards then ran a bit greenly early and didn't finish up too badly. He's a longshot to take a look at.

Good luck and thank you to everyone joining us today!