Sunday, 23 July 2017

Ajax Downs Selections July 23

Racing returns at Ajax today with a seven race card. Today's card is highlighted by a trio of trials for the Ontario Sires Stakes Futurity. 21 juveniles have been entered and it's a difficult set of races as only one of those 21 starters have a race under their belt. Here are my selections for today's card.

Race 1: 1-4-2
Welcome to Ajax Downs! #1 NIGHT FISHN, a half sister to Stakes winner Ice Fishn, was checked early in her debut, a QROOI Overnight Series race for Ontario Sired maidens and was unable to recover. She ran a good figure in spite of it. She could improve second time out. #4 MR POLAR EXPRESS was outclassed in the OSS Maturity trials a few weeks back. He did qualify for the AQHA Challenge Maiden and has run a few decent races. #2 GEORGIES MAY KITTY exits a second place finish. She finished fourth in the Overnight series race and seems to be gradually improving. The Daily Double starts here.

Race 2: 2-4-1
This race begins the early Pick 3. #2 PASSUM LANE broke well and led throughout despite lugging in a bit and was under little to no urging late. If he gets out on top again he will do what he can to hold on. #4 ARCTIC LAKE finished fourth in his 2017 debut at this level. He was a winner second off the layoff last year and could repeat that. #1 RICH AND ON FIRE bumped a foe fairly soundly at the start last time out and finished an even fourth, beating two foes that were out of it the second the gate opened. His best effort can win this race but it's a case of whether or not he's at his best.

Race 3: 2-7-3
This is the first trial for the Ontario Sires Stakes Futurity! #2 A RECKLESS AFFAIR is by Fire Finder out of Reckless Wish, a mare who won her two year old debut and was Stakes placed as a juvenile. She posted a fairly quick gate work on June 21. #7 JESS TUFF had a quick gate work on June 28. His dam was a two year old winner who qualified to two futurities and finished second in the Alex Picov Memorial. #3 ELENORR is a full sister to Albertt, who despite being a bit of a slow developer ran very credibly in his two year old debut. She may be better than her workout times suggest.

Race 4: 1-2-6
This is the second trial for the Ontario Sires Stakes Futurity, as well as the start of the $.20 Pick 4! #1 HANOVER HILL STOLI is out of Ima Running Stoli, who was a two time winner as a two year old who qualified to the Grade 2 Mile High Futurity in Colorado. He has been working well. #2 JUNOIMZOOMIN is out of Jessshazoom, a decent two year old runner who raced until she was seven. She shows two quick gate works. #6 SMOAKN GUN showed improvement in his most recent workout. His dam, Jamies Gotta Gun, ran some decent races as a juvenile and won the Ajax Downs Maiden Stakes in 2013.

Race 5: 5-3-6
This is the third and final trial for the Ontario Sires Stakes Futurity! #5 ROYAL HATRICK is by Fire Finder out of Special Royal Takeon. Special Royal Takeon has produced two very nice runners in Now Is Forever and Embrace Extravagence. She has been working well and may be tough. #3 TOO MUCH WHITE exchanged a few bumps and raced a little greenly on debut. He has the advantage of race day experience. #6 HELLFIRES MISTRESS has gradually improved in her workouts. Her dam was a two year old winner who had a solid juvenile season. The late Pick 3 begins here.

Race 6: 7-5-4
This race offers Late Double wagering. #7 TRES FORTUNE bumped a foe at the start but ran a very credible third behind Fishn For a Corona, a horse who had already won a NW2, and One Dashin Rose, who ran a good third in the AQHA Challenge Maiden. He seems like a very honest trier. #5 GOGO JANGLES finished fourth in the AQHA Challenge Maiden. He came back with a good looking win. The race shows no time but I came up with a hand time that works out to a 90 speed index. He could double up here. #4 GRABIN AWARDS has only one win in 15 starts, but has hit the top three on nine occasions. He was in a very competitive field last time out and could grab a piece of it here.

Race 7: 7-2-6
#7 FISHN FOR A CORONA broke her maiden facing NW2 and came right back to beat NW2 again. She takes the next step and could very realistically keep her undefeated streak going. #2 A GAME DASHER scored a speed index win two back before running a very good second behind Rouge River Cartel, who is having a very good season. She has only missed the board once in her eight race career. #6 SITUATION CRITICAL took 2016 off but came back this year and has been close in each of her three starts so far. She's a hard trier and it wouldn't be surprising to see her find the winner's circle here.

Thank you and good luck to everyone joining us today!

1 comment:

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