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Sunday, 10 July 2016

Ajax Downs Selections July 10

Sunday is upon us and that means another card of racing at Ajax Downs! Last week we saw Alakazaam keep his winning streak alive in the Ontario Sires Stakes Derby, and this week the two year olds will take center stage. The feature today is the John Deere Regional Juvenile Challenge and it has drawn a field of eight, including three shippers from Indiana Grand for trainer Anthony Cunningham. First post is 12:55 ET, here are my selections.

Race 1: 4-5-2
Welcome to Ajax Downs! #4 DASHING SUGARMAN reared up at the start in his first start of the year and was never a factor. He had three wins last year, each time closing to get up late. The 400 yard distance should be good for him, hopefully he can get away well. #5 SOXY N I KNOW IT caught some tough fields as a two year old, but came to the Speed Index ranks for her first start of 2016 and got up to win despite a stumble at the start. She proved that she fits with this level, hopefully she can be competitive again today. #2 ITSALLABOUTRAMBLIN scored two wins in three tries last year, including a Speed Index win, but has not had any luck so far this year. He was in very tough in an Ontario Sires Stakes Maturity trial last week and now drops to a much more reasonable spot. The Daily Double starts here.

Race 2: 1-3-4
This race kicks off the early Pick 3. #1 WAVIN dropped down the the maiden $7,000 claiming last time out, broke very slowly but flew down the outside to get up for the win. However, she drifted in and caused some interference causing her to be disqualified to third. She was a few lengths the best in that race and catches several of the same foes today. If she breaks well she should be tough to catch. #3 BODACIOUS VICTORY showed little in three starts in Minnesota and Iowa last year and has been a non-factor in two tries here. She has caught horses like Country Boy 123 and Memory of Jay, who are a lot tougher than the field she catches here, but she will still need to show improvement. #4 FLEET SELECT finished second behind Grasshopper Flats two starts back, then finished third last out behind an improving Bold Moon Arising. In four starts for this claiming tag he has always been competitive and I see no reason why today should be any different.

Race 3: 6-2-5
#6 WILD BOYZ VICTORY is only one for 20 in her career, but consistently puts in good efforts, hitting the top three 10 times. Her three starts this year have been respectable efforts, two of which being second place finishes. This field doesn't look too tough. #2 SHAKE SOME SUGAR is a very on and off type horse, he runs a lot of nondescript, even races but once in a while throws in a big one. Last time out he was just run down by Jess Kiss My Dash, a full brother to Jesskissmytexas. Last year he had a good third behind Kool Kinda Ivory and Albertt in August. He's capable, it's just a matter of whether or not he'll show up. #5 PAGRANAS WINNER qualified to the AQHA Challenge Maiden but was a non-factor in the final. She managed to get her maiden win last week over Bubbles Cartel Gal, a Stakes qualifier at Hialeah earlier this year. She has been earning competitive speed figures and has a chance to double up today.

Race 4: 4-2-3
This race is the start of the $.20 Pick 4! #4 ROCKIN MISS KITTY has been in very tough in her two starts at Ajax. First out she caught One Kool Wave, and next out she faced Caraway Blue. She was scratched at the gate on June 26 but returns now and gets to face a straight non-winners of two group for the first time in Ontario. #2 RICH AND ON FIRE finished a rallying second behind Itoldyouilikeroses two back but put in an even effort last time out on June 12. He was a winner at Ruidoso last year and hopefully can turn his form around today. #3 MAGIC OF CORONA ran a good third in his first Ajax start on May 8. In his most recent try he finished fifth along the rail but was beaten less than a length for the win. He certainly looks like he should be competitive here.

Race 5: 4-3-8
#4 PASSUM LANE started to show signs of life late in the season last year and has been knocking on the door in all three of his start this year. Last out he was beaten only a neck, and the start before that only a head. It seems like it's only a matter of time before he gets that first win. #3 BRUTUS BE GOOD finished a neck behind Passum Lane to be third in his career debut on June 12. He definitely showed run but he threw a wreck in the gate on return and had to be scratched. He has had some gate schooling since then and hopefully will be able to stand well, because he seems like he has some ability. #8 FAMES WINNER finished second in his first two starts this year, but caught a tougher group last time out and finished fourth behind No Cerveza for You. He looks like a contender in this group.

Race 6: 1-6-3
#1 ALBERTT scored back-to-back wins on May 22 and June 5 before entering in the Ontario Sires Stakes Derby trials. Unfortunately he was shut off at the start and lost all hope of qualifying to the final. This isn't the easiest NW3 out but he's been pretty game this year. #6 RANDOM AUDIT has raced three times this year, all going 110 yards, and has been running very well, just narrowly missing in her first two tries. Last time out she caught Sign it Down and One Kool Wave but was beaten only a half length. She returns to a conventional distance and gets in easier. #3 PICKIN WILD COTTON closed late to win a $10,000 claiming NW2 two starts back before finishing a non-threatening fourth in an Ontario Sires Stakes Derby trial. He raced very well in last year's Ontario Sires Stakes Futurity and if he breaks well he has a shot at an upset here. Late Pick 3 wagering begins here.

Race 7: 3-2-5
Late Double wagering is offered here. #3 CRUWYSN THE ARCTIC made his 2016 debut in the Ontario Sires Stakes Maturity trials last week but was shut off at the start and did not qualify to the final. He's a classy old horse; he won last year's OSS Maturity and has earned over $83,000 in his career. If he breaks well, don't be surprised to see him pull the upset. #2 RECKLESS AN WILD exits a narrowly beaten third place finish behind Dm Paid In Cash and Yawl Keep Textin, who are respectable foes. He was a winner on May 29 and is a two-time Stakes winner with nearly $120,000 earned. #5 FLY FAST FOR KAYLEY has two wins in three tries so far this year with the lone defeat being a runner up finish behind Reckless and Wild by a head. He beat that foe last out on June 12. He's in the best form he's even been in right now so it's tough to discount him.

Race 8: 8-6-5
Today's feature is the John Deere Regional Juvenile Challenge. #8 ONE FAST EFFORT is a very well bred runner, by three time Grade 1 winner One Famous Eagle out of a First Down Dash mare Tiny First Effort, who was a Grade 1 winner who won eight of her 19 career starts. He got a rough trip in his debut at Indiana and didn't show a lot, but came back to post a very sharp 220 yard gate workout in 11.54 on June 28. He may benefit from the outside draw. #6 LUMMIS FIRST is a son of the great First Down Dash out of a mare who won an All American Futurity trial in 2008. He debuted with an okay fourth place finish on June 19 and looks to improve here. He's certainly bred well enough. #5 RPAINTED PISTOL held on to win his debut at Remington on March 17 but broke poorly and trailed in a trial for the Remington Park Futurity. He is a son of Pyc Paint Your Wagon out of Grade 1 winning mare Rdustys Chick, and I've though he's looked quite good in morning training. He's the only runner here with a win under his belt.
 
Good luck and thank you to everyone joining us today!

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