Sunday, 14 June 2015

Ajax Downs Selections June 14

It's Sunday, which means it's time for some Quarter Horses at Ajax. Today's card features a pair of trials to the Ontario Sires Stakes Maturity. The best older horses from Ontario are looking to earn a spot in the $45,000 added final. Here are my selections for today's card.

Race 1: 1-4-5
Welcome to Ajax Downs! #1 FORTUNE PENDING showed ability last year, finishing second in the John Deere Ajax Juvenile Challenge. He raced in one of the QROOI Overnight Series Maiden races and finished a very good 4th in a race where he was forced in very late. He's the one to beat. #4 THE DIAMOND CARTEL was claimed by Renee Wilson last year for $5,000 in September. She raced her once after that, finishing a good fourth behind a horse named Random Audit, who's two-for-two this year. She shows a work at Hazel Park in Detroit coming into this. #5 DEE DEES WINNER was cut off midway in the race on May 17 in one of the QROOI Overnight Series Ontario Sired Maiden races to finish 7th. She had a few okay efforts last year, a few fourths and a third, and can improve today. Early Double wagering is available here.

Race 2: 7-3-5
This race starts the early Pick 3. #7 FLYING SECRETS pulled an 18-1 upset two weeks ago in one of the QROOI Overnight Series Maiden races. He was forced outwards 70 yards into the race but found a very nice late gear and got up for the win over a horse shipping in from Will Rogers. If he can run that well again, he will be tough. #3 HOLEY FOOSE had the lead but was caught late in a NW2 Allowance on May 31, in a race won by Deal a Fortune, who came back to win a NW3 Allowance last week. She should put in a good effort here. #5 FASTAZ TASK has hit the board in five of his nine starts. He makes his first start of 2015 here off of a good 220 yard work. He has the 2nd highest class rating of the field.

Race 3: 3-4-5
#3 FAVORITE LEADER is a Texas-bred who faces five Ontario-sired rivals today. She managed to get a third in her second start last year, and makes her first start off the layoff with a breeze at Hazel on Tuesday. #4 ARCTIC LAKE hasn't had any luck in two starts this year, but manage to get a second and a third last year. He finds himself eligible for the Speed Index Maiden condition and may appreciate that drop. #5 DASHING SUGARMAN raced an okay sixth on May 31, taking a bump after 50 yards and actually finishing ahead of Arctic Lake. He has not hit the board in eight starts.

Race 4: 6-1-4
Race 4 is the start of the $.20 Pick 4. #6 CARAWAY BLUE finished fourth in a very close finish on May 24. The 8 year old has 10 wins under his belt including two Stakes victories, and should be the one to beat here. #1 U B CRAWLIN raced at Hialeah this winter, getting a win and two second in four starts, all for lower claiming tags. Her class rating is close to Caraway Blue's and she could be a factor in her Ajax debut. #4 CHISSLED AND FIESTY exits a win in an Ontario-sired NW3 Allowance/Optional $7,000 claimer. Although she has only won three of her 36 starts, she has hit the board 21 times.

Pick 4 ticket: 1,6/5,7/4,5,6/8  $2.40 for $.20

Race 5: 7-5-4
#7 EMBRACE EXTRAVAGENCE was my pick in a race two weeks ago, but she flipped in the gate and was scratched. I'm still going to stand with her, she has looked great in her workouts and she has some very nice pedigree. I expect a big run out of her. #5 EFFORTLESS GAME went off as the favourite in her Ajax debut on May 24 but got shuffled back at the break and couldn't recover. She showed some talent in her American starts and should be a factor with a clean break. #4 DM KING CITY has had poor luck in his two starts so far, flipping in the gate prior to his debut and taking two bumps early two weeks ago. We should get a fair chance to see if he has any talent or not today.

Race 6: 4-6-5
This race is the first of two trials for the Ontario Sires Stakes Maturity. It also starts the late Pick 3. #4 NOT LOOKING TO SHAKE makes his 2015 debut here after a good 2014, where he compiled a record of 8-2-1-2. He won his first start of the year in 2012, 2013 and 2014, has a Stakes win under his belt and $141,942 in the bank. #6 CHARTED BY DM raced a great second last week behind The Fdd Map, one of the tougher older horses in Ontario. He qualified to this race last year, is second off the bench, and almost always races well against Ontario Sired runners. #5 CRUWYSN THE ARCTIC was the runner up in last year's Ontario Sires Stakes Maturity. In his 2015 debut, he raced in a Starter Allowance going 220 yards, where he lost his early footing but managed to find his stride and rally for third. He should be tough here.

Race 7: 8-5-2
This race is the second of two trials for the Ontario Sires Stakes Maturity. #8 JESSKISSMYTEXAS should win this race. The 5 year old is seven for 13 in his career, went three for three last year, is the defending champion of this race, his class rating is 10.1 points higher than the second highest in this field, and he looked terrific in his June 3rd gate work. It's going to take a lot to beat him. #5 PEGASOS ONE UNDERPAR only missed the board once in nine starts last year. While he is a classy runner, he gets leg weary at the longer distances. 330 is one of his better distances, he has hit the board in seven of nine starts at it. He should race well here. #2 RECKLESS AN WILD is last year's Ontario Sires Stakes Derby winner. He raced against older horses once last year, finishing third behind my top two picks. He has looked good working out and should race well in his 2015 debut. Late Double wagering is offered here.

Race 8: 8-5-7
#8 JESS FLY N HIGH came off the bench to score a Maiden win on May 24. He won that race by 1/2 a length but it probably would have been 3/4 or a full length had he not veered out late. He showed some ability as a two year old when he finished 4th in a Futurity trial. #5 THATSALOTOFSUGAR was a Maiden winner on opening day, broke slow and was a non-factor a week later, then finished a good second on May 31 with a 57 speed figure. Barring another slow break, she should race well. #7 FAMES A WINNER didn't show much in his season debut against NW2 Allowance runners. Dylan Williams, Renee Wilson's first-call rider, opts with this one over Jess Fly N High. Perhaps they expect improvement.

Good luck to everyone playing today!

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