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Tuesday, 7 October 2014

Tuesday Ajax Downs Selections

We're down to the final two weeks and three cards of racing at Ajax Downs. Time flies when you're having fun! This week's Tuesday card consists of nine races headlined by an open allowance for Ontario Sired runners. Here are my program selections.

Race 1: 2-5-1
Welcome back to another great card of racing here at Ajax Downs! #2 Mr Eazy looks very tough in the opener. He exits a pair of good third place finishes with solid speed figures. Back in July he qualified to the Adequan Derby Challenge. It's his race to lose. #5 Chissled and Fiesty is a six year old mare who's the queen of finishing second; 12 runner up finishes in 33 starts. She ran a decent third last time, and prior to that she was second to Code 36 who has been very tough in the Speed Index ranks lately. #1 Theydontlikemyname has finished behind Mr Eazy in her last two starts. Most recently she ran a very even seventh, but she doesn't need to be much better to be third today. Be sure to play the Early Double!

Race 2: 6-1-3
Early Pick 3 wagering is offered here, and we have another one who looks like she should not lose. #6 Sugarspicenotsonice was in way too tough in her last two starts, a trial and the final for the Alex Picov Memorial Champioship, where she ran against the best Quarter Horses in the province. She's about 15 speed figure points the best here. #1 Lose Your Wranglers is the clear second fastest horse in this race according to the speed figures, about 15-20 points faster than everybody except Sugarspicenotsonice. His lone start of 2014 was a trailing effort, but he can improve second off the bench and the rest of the competition is not tough at all. #3 Make Me Caliente raced evenly for $3,000 claiming last time. He's a very average horse, but he hits the board in over half of his starts so he can round things out here.

Race 3: 3-1-4
#3 Ttt Kellys Regan exits a good second behind Runaway Cause, who has since won a NW3 Allowance while he was still eligible for NW2. This gelding has raced well at Louisiana Downs and Hialeah, and today he has found a field that certainly looks beatable. #1 Random Audit has been facing Ontario Sired company and has been racing very well, getting beat only a nose two back and a neck last out. This is a tougher assignment but I think he is capable of running a respectable race here. #4 Tresseis Royal Fame exits the same race as Ttt Kellys Regan, where he finished fourth. He has only raced twice, so some improvement can be expected as he gains more experience.

Race 4: 5-4-1
This race kicks off the $.20 Pick 4, and I think we have a single to start things off. #5 Arctic Fame is in terrific form right now, exiting a second behind classy Stakes level runner Feature My News and a third in the Ontario Sires Stakes Derby. His class and his speed figures make him seem much the best here. #4 Make Me a Miracle finished a close second in her trial for the Ontario Sires Stakes Derby, but trailed in the final. I have no clue why she ran so poorly in that race, but she generally races well so I'll give her a chance to rebound here. #1 Hurricane Alexandra exits a fourth place finish in a trial for the Ontario Sires Stakes Maturity, and was meant to run in the final but was a steward's scratch. Her last wins come at the Speed Index level and she doesn't seem as fast as the favourite, but I think she'll race well today.

Race 5: 4-6-7
#4 Our General Grant exits a win at this $3,000 claiming level. He has run several very good races this year, and I don't see a start in 2014 that I would consider poor. At 7-1 I like him to double up. #6 Extravagant Moves has had a great 2014, compiling a record of 6-2-3-0. She looked like a winner in most of her last race but was just beaten by Hi N Dry. She's in fantastic form and has to be considered the one to beat. #7 Kool N Kinda Special was making up ground late last time to be third behind Extravagant Moves, and before that was second behind Our General Grant. He definitely fits in at this level and has a shot to turn the tables on the top two.

Race 6: 4-2-6
#4 Eye Select debuted against straight Maiden company and ran a decent 5th. She now drops in for the $5,000 claiming tag and looks to improve second time out. #2 Caraways Zoomto Fame dropped down for the tag last time and raced well to be third. He's run 10 times and really hasn't been that close so it's tough to back him to win, but he does usually race well. #6 Everything Fast is a professional maiden, still looking for the first win after 20 starts. He's run several good races this year that should make him competitive, but will he ever win? Will start #21 be the day things work out for him? I'm going with no.

Race 7: 3-6-8
#3 Shesastreakinchick had not been racing very well at all, but turned things around on September the 16th when finished third behind Code 36 and Cold Hearted Shark. This is a softer spot, the big question is will she run as well as she did last time or go back off form? #6 Carbello is quite similar, usually not racing well but exiting a good effort, a second behind Cold Hearted Shark. Just like Shesastreakinchick, he needs to prove that he can run that well again. #8 Yessir E Bob won a NW2 $5,000 claimer two back, but came back to run an even sixth in Shesastreakinchick's last race. Numbers-wise he fits here, we'll see what he does today. Late Pick 3 wagering is available here.

Race 8: 5-2-6
This is our featured race of the day, an open Allowance for Ontario Sired horses. It also kicks off the Late Double. #5 Jesskissmytexas is probably the best Ontario Sired horse currently racing and he's looking to prove it today. He exits an easy win in the Ontario Sires Stakes Maturity, never being challenged. He's won five of his last six, six of 12 lifetime, and has the figures to back it up. Very tough to beat. #2 Reckless an Wild exits a hard fought win in the Ontario Sires Stakes Derby. That was easily the best effort of his career, but he'll need to duplicate that to beat Jesskissmytexas. Talented horse for sure, but the waters are getting a bit deeper. #6 Pegasos One Underpar has hit the board in six of seven starts this year, exiting a second in a 250 yard Allowance. He's an eight time winner, making him the winningest horse in this field.

Race 9: 7-6-2
Ontario bred Maidens wrap up today's card. #7 Jess Fly N High took a couple of starts to get going, but ran a respectable fourth behind horses like Arizona Bennie and Sassy N Ready in an Ontario Sires Stakes Futurity trial. The class drop should be beneficial. #6 Situation Critical debuted against Jess Fly N High and slightly outran him. She hasn't raced since that debut back on August 26, likely because there was no race for her. We'll see if she improves second time out. #2 Mountain Cartel debuted on September 1st and ran an okay fifth. Much like Situation Cartel he is well bred and I'm expecting some second time out improvement.

Good luck to everyone playing today! Just a reminder that next week is our final week of racing, and we will have two cards of racing. There will be racing on Thanksgiving Monday and on Tuesday the 14th.

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