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Monday, 8 September 2014

Ajax Downs Tuesday Selections

Welcome back to another day of racing at Ajax Downs! This week we have a feature in the Ontario Sires Stakes Derby! This race was scheduled to be last Tuesday's main event but was rescheduled after the card was cancelled due to weather. This week everything will be a go (knock on wood.) Here are my program selections for this week's races.

Race 1: 2-5-3
Welcome back to Ajax Downs for another fantastic Tuesday card! Race 1 is the start of the Early Double. #2 Extravagent Moves ran a good race at the 110 yard distance on Labour Day. She's got great gate speed and drops down for $3,000. The one to beat. #5 Fly Fast for Kayley broke very well last time at 300 yards, but was caught late. If he breaks like that today he could be tough at 220 yards. #3 Down Home Girl always races well at 250 yards. She's the highest earner of the field and should be involved somewhere.

Race 2: 5-2-1
Two year old maidens look for their first win here. #5 Marthas Jess Gold is an Oklahoma bred first timer who faces five Ontario and one Quebec bred here. Her works have not been flashy, but she comes from the top stable. Should be respected. #2 Eye Said Im Ned is the horse to beat here. After a decent debut in the Alex Picov Memorial Futurity trials, this gelding was beaten only a neck in the open maiden ranks.Very dangerous with a clean break. #1 Arctic Lake showed next to nothing in his first two starts, but raced gamely in his most recent effort, where he finished fifth but was placed fourth. The Early Pick 3 begins in this race.

Race 3: 7-2-5
#7 I Like Chics debuted back in June with a win, and has since run three respectable efforts. Speed figure wise he has yet to dip below 50. We'll see if today is the day for win number two. #2 I Am Perfect actually raced against I Like Chics on July 27th and finished narrowly in front to be fourth. He makes only his second start of the year and could be tough. #5 Cash in for Sugar had hit the board in three of his first five starts, but dropped in class on Canada Day and got up for the win. The layoff is a bit concerning and I don't think she's fast enough to win, but she can grab a share.

Race 4: 7-5-6
This race is the start of the $.20 Pick 4. #7 Shade of Grey drew the outside post in her debut and closed well to be beaten only a half a length. She came back two weeks later on August 17 cutting back to 250 yards and she had nothing to offer. I think that drawing outside again and getting some more distance back will be good for her. #5 Speedalicious had nothing in her debut, but showed improvement second time out finishing fifth, close for third. Third time out, perhaps more improvement is on it's way. #6 Dee Dees Winner finished fourth in the race where Speedalicious finished fifth. She has been on and off, running some respectable efforts and following them up with even runs. She's got the most experience, however, and perhaps that could be an edge.

Race 5: 1-7-6
#1 Lexia returns after a win in the AQHA Maiden Challenge over Mr Victory Six with a strong 86 speed figure. That figure makes her very tough here, and although she's a one time winner in a non-winners of three race, I think she's a big factor. #6 Ivory Injun did not race particularly well last time, but prior to that his 2014 form has been very respectable. He's qualified to the two Derbies that have already been run, and finished third in the Adequan Derby Challenge. Hopefully his last race was a one-off. #6 Mr Eazy has raced twice against Ivory Injun this year and has finished behind him in both of those starts. He's hit the board in four of six this year, but I think he's a cut below the top two choices.

Race 6: 7-1-4
#7 Cause Im Dancing has raced four times, three times against star filly Jumping Guitar, and winning her other start which was an Alex Picov Memorial Futurity trial. She's qualified to two Futurities and hasn't embarrassed herself in either; the class of the field. #1 Sassy N Ready broke like a rocket in her debut and drew off to win by 1 1/2 lengths with a respectable 49 speed figure. It will be fun to see what she can do in the future. Her entrymate, #1A Speed of Life was a super impressive winner on debut, then ran a good third in the John Deere Juvenile Challenge after a bad break. She was scheduled to run in the Alex Picov Memorial Futurity trials, but she flipped twice in the paddock. She's very nice, but watch how she behaves. #4 A Mere Outlaw broke her maiden nicely on debut with a 51 speed figure, then came back to be fourth in a trial for the Alex Picov Memorial Futurity. She didn't qualify, but she's got some ability and has be considered a factor here. Late Pick 3 wagering kicks off in this race.

Race 7: 9-6-2
This is our featured event today: the $73,850 Ontario Sires Stakes Derby! This race was scheduled to be run last week but was pushed back after the races were cancelled. We've got a very tough looking horse here in the form of #9 Reckless an Wild. Last year's Alex Picov Memorial Futurity winner took a few starts to get into gear this year, but he's run three very nice efforts in a row now, including an easy, confident win in his trial for this race. He will be very tough to beat here. #6 Zoomin On Ice is looking for his third consecutive victory. He won his trial for this race in 18.200, .17 slower than the favourite. Not a likely winner, but an exactor factor. #2 Arctic Fame has not won this year in six tries, but has qualified to two Derbies before this one and finished second to Reckless an Wild in their trial. A handy horse when he's on his game. Be sure to play the Late Double.

Race 8: 9-6-10
#9 No More Sugar Tonite finished a good third in her most recent start. She's only had one start in her five race career that wasn't a good effort. She's caught a very beatable field here; tough to beat. #6 Sweet Okey is still a maiden after ten starts, but has hit the board in three of those tries and has competitive speed figures. If she's ever going to win, today could be the day. #10 Corona Four Twenty finished last in her debut for $10,000 claiming, then ran a respectable fifth for the $5,000 tag, beaten only 3/4 of a length. Today he draws outside, and doesn't have to be great to finished third here.

Good luck to everyone playing today!

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