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Tuesday, 23 September 2014

Ajax Downs Tuesday Selections

Do we have a great card for you today! We're back for another fantastic Tuesday at Ajax Downs with an 11 race card headlined by four trials to the Ontario Sires Stakes Futurity and an open allowance race for older horses. We've got lots of full fields for you, before scratches the average field size in 8.8. Be sure to check us out today! Here are my program selections. Just a note, if you're on track, my selections in race 8 should read 4-7-8, not 3-7-8. Typo on my part.

Race 1: 1-5-6
Welcome back to Ajax Downs for a fantastic 11-race Tuesday! #1 Bold Six Love is a late running type who loves 400 yards; he won a Stakes at Hialeah at the distance but was disqualified. I doubt he'll be 10-1, but I think he's a big factor. #5 Cat Vision raced well behind Jj Maxwell and Channelislandflyer (who won last week) last time. He's yet to miss the board in five starts this year, and is the one to beat here. #6 Down Town Sugar exits a fourth place finish in the Ontario Sires Stakes Derby. This is a class drop and the 71 speed figure he ran in that race makes him competitive. Be sure to play the Early Double!

Race 2: 4-8-2
This race is the start of the Early Pick 3. #4 Noisyboy has raced four times and has been competitive in all of his starts. A lot of the horses he has been racing against have been coming back to win; should be competitive. #8 Dees Black Dimples was outclassed in the Ontario Sires Stakes Derby last time, but gets into a more reasonable spot today. She has hit the board in six of 11 starts and has be considered here. #2 Wild Roze closed late and raced a very game second last time. Today she gets an extra 30 yards to work with. She's been on and off this year but right now she appears to be on.

Race 3: 8-3-5
#8 Cold Hearted Shark led most of the way last week but was run down by a much-the-best Code 36. Today he gets in a softer field and cuts back 20 yards. 8-1 would be a big overlay. #3 Eye Dash To Win has raced in a pair of NW2 races where he has not gotten easy competition; Zoomin On Ice was beaten a nose in the Ontario Sires Stakes Derby and Bold Six Love pops up in today's first race. The drop to Speed Index should help this gelding. #5 Eyescap was lucky to qualify for the Ontario Sires Stakes Derby, and finished an even sixth in the final. He hasn't had a very good 2014, but the drop in class should help him.

Race 4: 4-3-7
The $.20 Pick 4 kicks off in this race! #4 Hi N Dry has been competing in the optional claiming conditioned races and has been close against some tough ones such as Halee Hath No Fury, Bold Six Love and Channelislandflyer. This mare has nice gate speed and should appreciate the cutback to 250 yards and class drop to $3,000 claiming. #3 Extravagant Moves has had a very good 2014, sporting a record of 5-2-2-0. She's a speedy eight year old who's almost always close, and I think she's the one to beat. #7 Down Home Girl finished a neck behind Extravagant Moves last time. She's got a good record at 250 yards, 7-2-1-1, and while she may a slight cut below my top two choices she should run well today.

Race 5: 3-7-4
This race is the first of four trials for the Ontario Sires Stakes Futurity. #3 Sharpe Dressed Man dueled for the win back on July 13 and has gotten some time off since then. On August 27 he posted a bullet 220 yard workout in 12.59 in Michigan. Possible upset. #7 Eyesa Speedy Simon ran a very good late-closing second two weeks ago. He's been inconsistent in his four race career, but if he runs his race he will like 400 yards. Whether or not he actually runs well remains to be seen. #4 George Is Dashing was beaten a nose on Labour Day and would have won with a few more yards. I expect another good run today.

Race 6: 1-9-5
This race is the second of four trials for the Ontario Sires Stakes Futurity. #1 Im Aquicktrick was very impressive winner on debut and came back to be a close second in a trial for the Alex Picov Memorial Futurity. In the final she was expected to run well, but lost all chance after a rough beginning and couldn't find her stride. Today she should be very tough if she gets away cleanly. #9 Illbegoneflying looked good winning her debut. She was then entered in the Alex Picov Memorial Futurity trials, but was a steward's scratched. Today she should be a go and has be to considered here. #5 Eye Said Im Ned has improved in all three of his starts, grabbing the win two weeks ago. I don't think he's quite good enough to win, but I don't expect a bad effort.

Race 7: 6-9-10
This race is the third of four trials for the Ontario Sires Stakes Futurity. #6 Arizona Bennie won his trial for the Alex Picov Memorial Futurity and came back to race a super game second behind Jumping Guitar in the final. If he breaks cleanly he should win this race. #9 Sassy N Ready is the obvious second choice and if anything goes wrong for Arizona Bennie, this filly should win. She was a dominant maiden winner on August 10th and came back to be a close second in an allowance race two weeks ago. She's a nice filly. #10 Arctic Special Fame has hit the board in four of his five starts. After the top two there really aren't any special looking horses here, so at 15-1 I don't mind this one to round things out.

Race 8: 4-7-8
This race is the fourth and final trial for the Ontario Sires Stakes Futurity. #4 Remember The Music was a confident maiden winner on August 26th. A duplicate of that effort should give her win #2. #7 Arctic Special debuts here for trainer Erik Lehitnen with a bullet 250 yard gate workout in 13.97 over a sloppy track. This gelding is out of a mare who raced here in 2007, compiling a record of 5-1-1-2, with a third in a Futurity. An upset contender. #8 A Southern Jess finished third behind Cause I'm Dancing and Sassy N Ready two weeks ago. I don't see this gelding winning, but his last race was good and he could round things out here.

Race 9: 3-6-4
On top of the Futurity trials, we've also got a 350 yard open allowance race for three year olds and up here! #3 One Kool Wave is one of the nicest older horses in Ontario. He currently holds the track records for 110, 300 and 400 yards here at Ajax. He's got ridiculous gate speed, and should be tough here stretching out from 110 yards to a more conventional 350. #6 What Ta Wear has been very tough this year, her seasonal record is 6-2-2-2. In her last four starts her lowest speed figure is 93, with a good second in the Picov Maturity and a third in the Bank of America Challenge. She's very tough, definitely the one to beat. #4 Streakinshagginwagon has won five of six this year, most recently tackling a small group of older horses. This is his toughest race of the season and I'm not sure he's ready to win agaisnt these types. Remember that Late Pick 3 wagering is offered here

Race 10: 3-5-7
This race kicks off the Late Double. #3 Feature My News is a horse who some class coming to Ajax, running well in many Stakes races in Florida, New Mexico and Louisiana. He disappointed for his first few local starts, but showed his true class last time, finishing second in the Bank of America Challenge. If he duplicates that effort, he will dominate this race. #5 Mels Dash was a horse I expected to have a strong 2014, but thanks to some bad luck just hasn't really done anything this year. His last two races were respectable, he can be involved. #7 A Shore Thing has been good this year, but not as good as he has been. He did win a race down in Hialeah over the winter and has been close in all three of recent local starts. Definitely not one to completely toss.

Race 11: 9-4-1
#9 No More Sugar Tonite ran an awesome race two weeks ago, finishing third by a neck after a hard bump. She's been good this season and has a strong chance to win today. #4 Pure Sugar Rush is an on and off type. Her most recent start resulted in a close second for a $10,000 claiming price. I figure she can run well here without being in for the tag. #1 Lookin to Be Iconic has run well for $5,000 claiming in her last two starts. This is tougher, but it's still not a tough field. Her entrymate, #1A Random Audit will be very tough if she draws in off the also-eligible list.

Good luck to everyone playing today!

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