Tuesday, 2 September 2014

Ajax Downs Tuesday Selections

After a great Labour Day card featuring Jumping Guitar extending her win streak to four in the Alex Picov Memorial Futurity, and then a fantastic win from Jm Miracle in the Grade I All American Futurity at Ruidoso Downs, we're back with another card of Quarter Horse racing from Ajax Downs! On track fans, we have a promotion for you: the first 20 people to wager on Race 7 win a prize. If you're playing off track from HPI, if you wager $50 or more on today's card you get entered in a draw to win $500. Our feature today is the Ontario Sires Stakes Derby. Here are my program selections.

Race 1: 6-2-1
#6 Three Points N Gone has run twice this year and hit the board in both attempts. Most recently, he was bumped while facing tougher company. With a clean trip he could throw a winning effort here. #2 Oh Gary is a horse who can win when he faces the right bunch, but is usually in over his head. He exits a fifth place finish in the Ontario Sires Stakes Maturity. This is the kind of field he could beat. #1 Fly Fast for Kayley makes his 2014 debut after ending 2013 on a winning note over a sloppy track. He may need a race coming off of the layoff. Early Double wagering is available here.

Race 2: 4-6-1
This race kicks off the Early Pick 3. #4 The Diamond Cartel drops in for the $5,000 claiming tag after being beaten a neck in an Ontario Sired maiden event. A horse improving in form and dropping in class should be dangerous. #6 On the Edge of Glory debuts for Janet Grice with a decent 250 yard gate workout in 13.94. This gelding is out of Stakes winning dam Electrolyte Fish, who won her career debut. A possible threat from the outside post. #1 Another Shark has the looks of a professional maiden, hitting the board in six of eleven starts but just can't win. To leave him off of your exotic tickets would not be a sharp move.

Race 3: 4-2-5
#4 Streakinlilsis takes a class drop into $10,000 maiden claiming after two last place finishes, albeit against much tougher company. She shows a nice workout returning off of a bit of a layoff, and she should be a factor against the easier foes. #2 Dick Greyson has run a pair of respectable efforts against Ontario Sired maidens. He could be able to put it all together dropping in for the tag. #5 Aforgone Conclusion has not raced since January at Hialeah. He's run for the tag before and has not been successful. However, this is not a tough field, likely the easiest spot of his career. The layoff is concerning.

Race 4: 7-1-2
An optional $5,000 claiming field of nine will start the $.20 Pick 4 today. #7 Sign It Down has had a very good 2014, with a season's record of 5-1-2-1. Most recently she finished second behind the very nice Mr. Victory Six on August 17th. She is two for four at the 330 yard distance, big factor. #1 Halee Hath No Fury is undefeated in two starts this year, most recently winning a NW2 over next-out winner Holey Foose. Never worse than fourth in her six race career, she cannot be discounted. #2 Bold Six Love exits a win in another optional $5,000 claiming race at 400 yards. If this race was 400 yards he would be my choice; he's the classiest horse in the field, but I think he needs more than 330 to run his best race.

Race 5: 1-4-6
#1 Zoom Zoom is definitely the horse to beat here; he would be my single in the Pick 4. He won a maiden race last time by 3/4 of a length, but was disqualified to sixth. Today he gets to face maidens again, a task he's proven to be very capable of. #4 Down On Cash debuted on July 27th and ran a respectable third. They brought her back in the Alex Picov Memorial Futurity trials, a significantly tougher race, and she finished seventh. She fits much better here. #6 Redwing Mill has been okay in both of his races so far. There's not much to say about him, but okay is enough to be third here.

Race 6: 2-1-4
#2 Jj Maxwell won at this $7,000 starter allowance condition last time. This is a very competitive field, but I'm going to give him the nod to double up. 9-2 on the Renee Wilson/Daniel Rose combo is not a price you get very often. #1 Jessies Leaving You is looking for her fourth consecutive win. She certainly fits at this level. The one to beat, but by no means a lock. #4 Ourfirstorphan has only missed the board once in six tries this year. His last three races have been good efforts, a second to Jessies Leaving You, a second to the super tough Eyesa Zoomn and a win in a three horse race. He's a consistent hard knocker, but I don't know if he's as fast as the top two choices. Late Pick 3 wagering begins here.

Race 7: 9-6-2
This is our featured event today: the $73,850 Ontario Sires Stakes Derby! We've got a very tough looking horse here in the form of #9 Reckless an Wild. Last year's Alex Picov Memorial Futurity winner took a few starts to get into gear this year, but he's run three very nice efforts in a row now, including an easy, confident win in his trial for this race. He will be very tough to beat here. #6 Zoomin On Ice is looking for his third consecutive victory. He won his trial for this race in 18.200, .17 slower than the favourite. Not a likely winner, but an exactor factor. #2 Arctic Fame has not won this year in six tries, but has qualified to two Derbies before this one and finished second to Reckless an Wild in their trial. A handy horse when he's on his game. Be sure to play the Late Double.

Race 8: 4-8-7
#4 No More Sugar Tonite finished third in a good maiden field on July 6th. Prior to that she ran a respectable fourth in an open maiden field. This bunch is likely easier, and her 220 yard breeze in 12.32 looks good to me. #8 Caraways Zoomto Fame is always close when competing in the maiden ranks. He most recently tried a Derby trial where was not effective. Today he returns to maiden company and looks good for another close finish, or possibly a win. #7 Sweet Okey has been third in her last two efforts. She was off form in June and July, but has found her better races now. We'll see if she can round things out.

Good luck to everyone playing today! Thank you for joining us at Ajax Downs!

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