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Sunday, 13 July 2014

Ajax Downs Selections July 13th

It's Sunday which means we have another card Quarter Horse racing from Ajax Downs! We've got eight races today, highlighted by an open allowance for older Ontario Sired horses. Here are my program selections for today.

Race 1: 7-2-3
#7 Chiseled in Kisses ended 2013 in a tough starter allowance where he was fourth beaten 3/4 of a length. He draws outside for his season debut and catches a soft field today. #2 Extravagant Moves kicked off the season running a good fourth in a 110 yard dash. When she runs at the levels she belongs at, she is almost always close. Her speed figures suggest that she is a factor. #3 Catch a Heart is making his third start at Ajax. He showed great improvement in his second local start and should be good enough to round things out.

Race 2: 3-2-4
#3 Ramble on Corona debuted in a John Deere Juvenile Challenge trial where she finished fourth, beaten only a neck for third. She flashed some gate speed in that race, so the cut back to 250 yards and the class drop to Ontario Sired maidens should be big assets to her. #2 Sharpe Dressed Man finished a good second in his June 22nd debut. He can improve in his second career start, the debut was very solid. #4 CC Fire N Ice makes 13.58 on June 17th. That kind of speed makes him a factor.

Race 3: 1-8-10
#1 Sugar Bean Perry has raced twice from the rail post and has gotten a win and, most recently, a second. In his last start he broke very well but was run down late. The cutback to 300 yards, a distance at which his record is 3-2-0-0, should help him. #8 Zoomin On Ice is the obvious class of the field, racing most recently in the Picov Derby. He has been fast enough to qualify for three Stakes races in his career, and should be very tough taking the drop in class. #10 Fast and Rare Love ran a good second in his 2014 debut. Last year he qualified to the Alexander Picov Futurity, so he does have some class. He breaks from the outside today, and while he may not be as quick as the top two, he should run well.

Race 4: 5-1-4
We kick off today's $.20 Pick 4 with a competitive $3,000 claiming group. #5 Carbello drops into this class after an even fifth going 110 yards. Prior to that effort, he ran second behind Mitford, who recently won the Picov Maturity. He should appreciate this class drop. #1 Tres Okie is a tough ten year old who has hit the board in 30 of his 55 career starts. He finished third against a very tough Starter Allowance field last time and should not be discounted. #4 Code 36 made his first start of the season against a conditioned group of claimers for this tag, and ran a good third. He tends to run a similar effort in his second start off the layoff as his first, so he should be good enough to round things out here.

Race 5: 1-4-2
#1 Silken Memories makes a big drop in class from a Picov Derby trial where he faced Mr Victory Six, to maiden $5,000 claiming. With an alert break from the rail post, he should be a factor. #4 Lynch Full Flight finished a good third in a straight Maiden last time. The class drop makes him the one to beat. #2 Mommyssweetsecret dropped in for $5,000 last time and ran third. This bunch is tougher than the ones she faced last time, but she always seems to be in the mix no matter what level she's at.

Race 6: 1-6-5
#1 Silken Memories is unquestionably the horse to beat here. She ran a very good third in the Picov Derby last time, and now gets to face Non winners of three. She's multiple stakes placed, she can hold her own against the best, and she's missed the board only once. Very tough to beat. #6 Channelislandsflyer is a longshot I like for second. He's tried 110 yards in his last two starts, but now gets back to a standard distance. On June 1st he finished third behind Eyesa Zoomn, one of the toughest horses who races at Ajax. This gelding ran some decent races in Florida over the winter as well, and can definitely outrun his 15-1 odds. #5 Sign It Down finished a close second behind Silken Memories two back before coming back to win a NW2 easily. She really turned her career around last fall and is a logical contender today.

Race 7: 4-1-2
Today's feature is a $17,000 open Allowance for older Ontario Sired runners. #4  Not Looking to Shake raced against Mitford and What Ta Wear among other nice horses in the Picov Maturity last time. While that was not a stellar effort on his part, he did play with these Ontario Sired runners back on May 25th. #1 Pegasos One Underpar was beaten a neck going 110 yards on Canada Day, and now returns to Ontario Sired company. Two back he wo in this class in the final stride, but prior to that he was well beaten by Not Looking to Shake. However, he has beaten him in the past and has to be considered here. #2 Cruwysn Down Home is not a deserving favourite, but does have some talent. Most recently, he was beaten a nose by Pegasos One Underpar. Prior to that he won a conditioned Allowance event. He seems better than the two other runners I have not discussed, easily.

Race 8: 3-10-5
#3 Random Audit had an early lead in his debut, but raced greenly and ended up eighth. Now that he has a race, I expect a straighter run from this filly. She did show the gate speed that you want for 220 yards, and takes a big class drop. #10 An Icy Secret was outdone for the $5,000 tag last time so now takes the final drop to $3,000. She ran a speed figure last time that makes her tough here, draws outside and makes her second start off the layoff. A deserving favourite. #5 Sweet Okey had no run whatsoever las time, certainly cause for concern. The race prior to that, third by a neck against an Ontario Sired Maiden group makes her competitive here, and it wouldn't shock me to see her run a much better race than that no effort last time.


Good luck to everyone playing today!

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