Tuesday, 1 July 2014

Ajax Downs Canada Day Selections

Happy Canada Day everyone! For the holiday practically every track in Canada is racing, and Ajax Downs is no exception. We have a seven race program for you today which features a 110 yard Gridiron Gallop and a pair of trials for the AQHA Maiden Challenge. There are plenty of on-track attractions as well. We hope you can spend the day with us! Here are my selections for the card.

Race 1: 4-1-3
#4 Cash in for Sugar probably should have won her last race but stumbled at the start, losing all chance. If she breaks well today she's the one to beat. #1 Im a Lil Magic dropped down to $10,000 maiden claiming last time and was beaten only a head. The added class relief should help her, but I'm not sure an extra 30 yards will. Regardless, not one to toss. #3 Mommyssweetsecret finished fourth in Im a Lil Magic's last race, a respectable run. Again, the added class relief should help. She may also improve in her third start of the season.

Race 2: 4-3-6
This is the first of two trials for the AQHA Maiden Challenge. #4 Shadasha comes to us by way of Remington Park, where most recently she was beaten only 1/2 a length. The class relief should be key for her #3 Bb Milliondollarbaby is not actually a maiden, finding the win at Indiana last time. She has some class, qualifiying to last year's Heritage Place Derby. This race is between these two in my opinion. #6 Ms Kool O Toole was beaten a neck against local company back on May 25th in her career debut. She draws outside and makes sense to round things out.

Race 3: 3-1-4
This is the second of two trials for the AQHA Maiden Challenge. #3 Mr Victory Six is undeniably the horse to beat here. If he hadn't have been on the inside part of the track in the Picov Derby, I think he would have won. That day was quite outside favouring. I think he's probably the best three year old in Ontario. This should be a cakewalk. #1 Runaway Cause has been close in her last few starts. So long as she likes the rail she should be able to pick up a cheque. #4 Cantcatchthissecret had no excuse on her Picov Derby trial. This is easier company, perhaps she will run better second time off the layoff.

Race 4: 5-2-6

#5 I Like Chics debuted in winning fashion on June 8th. If this five year old continues to grow as he gains experience, he will be tough to beat. #2 Shesastreakinkid ran a good third against a fairly tough group last time. She does make her second start off the layoff, her last race was very good, but her record of 15-1-1-1 is a concern. #6 Copper State Queen makes her second start off the layoff. She isn't a winning type, but she does it the board reasonably consistently, so I will give her a shot to round it out.

Race 5: 6-7-1

#6 Chasing Royalty has had two starts this season, both in the open Ontario Sired Allowance ranks and both have been very good. She drops into NW3 company and is the one to beat. #7 Not Too Much exits a third against similar company. She is a Stakes winner and she draws outside, but she will need to improve off of her last effort in order to win. #1 Oh Gary started the season with a win against ON sired NW2 allowance horses, and then faced a field of open Allowance horses. That bunch was way too tough for him and it shows in his last place finish. He is the kind who likes to be close and can definitely hit the board at a bit of a price.

Race 6: 7-1-8

This week's feature is a $21,000, 110 yard 'Gridiron Gallop!' #7 Rising Up the Charts is winless at the distance, but in October he finished a good second to 110 yard specialist Slick Little Beduino. He hasn't gotten a win in a long time, but today could be the day he returns to the winner's circle. #1 One Kool Wave likes 110 yards, winning three of four tries at the distance. He draws the rail, which he won impressively from on May 18th. He's tough, but looking for some more value in a race like this may be smart. #8 Jesse James Alibi has won three of her last five starts, including a run at this distance last time. Her 110 yard win was probably not fast enough to win against these, but there's a chance she improves second time off the layoff. 

Race 7: 3-7-4

#3 Imaflysmashingbaby ran alright against open Maidens last time after being beaten only a neck against Ontario Sired runners in his previous starts. The speed figures for his two races this year suggest he is narrowly the fastest horse in this group. #7 Apache Bo is a first time starter for Renee Wilson and Daniel Wayne Rose who shows a 220 yard gate workout in 12.37, very respectable. He certainly doesn't have to beat much here and he's 15-1. #4 Wild About Nellie has not had much luck from the gate this year. She hasn't shown a lot of ability, but this is one of the easier maiden fields so she can round it out; she doesn't deserve favourite status, however.

Have a great Canada Day!

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